EVALUATION OF DISRUPTION RISK IN LARGE SCALE COMPLEX SYSTEMS WITH EXPERT’S KNOWLEDGE

1 BUKOWSKI Lech
Co-authors:
2 FELIKS Jerzy
Institutions:
1 The University of Dąbrowa Górnicza, Dąbrowa Górnicza, Poland, EU, lbukowski@wsb.edu.pl
2 AGH University of Science and Technology, Kraków, Poland, EU, jfeliks@zarz.agh.edu.pl
Conference:
7th Carpathian Logistics Congress, ALEXANDRA WELLNESS HOTEL, Liptovsky Jan, Slovakia, EU, June 28th - 30th 2017
Proceedings:
Proceedings 7th Carpathian Logistics Congress
Pages:
129-135
ISBN:
978-80-87294-74-1
ISSN:
2694-9318
Published:
30th November 2017
Proceedings of the conference were published in Web of Science.
Metrics:
515 views / 168 downloads
Abstract

In the times of market-economy, all decision making processes play the key role in managing a company or organization. The more and more complicated level of production, logistics processes and logistics supply chains and networks, the growing competition or budget restrictions are some of the factors forcing the managements of companies to conduct continuous, dynamic and rational planning. Providing the continuity of the supply in logistic chain is a difficult challenge at the present time, with insights into the increasingly difficult to predict global threats such as floods, earthquakes and so on.The objective of this paper is to propose a universal concept of quantitative risk assessment related to the occurrence of different treats and hazards, and resulting in disrupting process continuity on a large scale. This problem is particularly important for the large scale complex systems, for instance, global supply chains.

Keywords: Supply Chain Management Fuzzy Logics; Experts Knowledge

© This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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